Monday, July 28, 2025

Returns of my Solo Levelling Strategy after 3 months

Back in Apr, I wrote a post about my new strategy: Solo Leveling. 

Since now NASDAQ is now at all-time highs, I may as well take a look at my returns and make a note. 

To recap on my Solo Leveling strategy: I will buy the first round when the price drops to 90% from the all-time high, ie. QQQ is in correction mode. Further, when the price drops to 88% from the ATH, buy another round. Similarly, buy when price drops to 86%, 84%, 82%, 80%, ... and so on until 70% of ATH.

Below are the instances where I bought:

                                        

From the above, given QQQ's (previous) all-time high (ATH) of 540.81 on 1 Apr 2025, I bought QQQ at roughly 90%, 88%, 86%, 84%, 82%, 80%, 78% from the ATH. 

So, how much have those returns netted me?

I crunched the numbers and arrived at the following: 

                        

To get a clear picture, I looked at the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of my investments. Think of CAGR as the smoothed annual rate of return—it tells you what your average yearly growth rate would have been if the investment had grown at a steady rate from start to finish, without considering the ups and downs in between.

This CAGR is computed using the FV() formula in Google Sheets, which stands for Future Value. In my case, I plugged in the lump sum invested at the start, the number of periods invested in months, and the final portfolio value.

As of 28 July 2025, the price of QQQ is 566.37. With dividends included, I achieved a CAGR of 69%!

By the rule of 72, it means I will double my portfolio in 1.04 years!

Ok, to be realistic, the portfolio was only set up 4 months ago. From my experience, as time goes on, this CAGR will decline to a steady state. So 69% may not be the steady state CAGR.

Simple returns are 24.49% which is good as well. 

Overall, a success for my solo leveling strategy. The only problem is that I do not know how long I have to wait until another buy signal appears. May be a long wait.

Let's see the returns in a years time.  








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