Here are the movements for this month:
The USA fund is the best performer, one head above the rest. The SPY fund is also on an upward trend, indicating a strong US market.
Cryptocurrency fund is also moving up...hopefully, it will be positive eventually 😓
All other funds unfortunately had little movement. These are mainly in the boring Singapore market.
I also started tracking my robo-advisor portfolios. As of now Syfe and Stashaway have the highest time-weighted returns.
The Syfe reit portfolio is unfortunately still negative but with interest rates coming down, I hope it will recover by this year!
Key events in the last 30 days:
- Economic data: US wholesale prices increased more than anticipated, gaining 0.3 percent in January on higher service costs.
- Federal Reserve: The Fed maintained its hawkish stance on interest rates, and a cut in interest rates in Mar is not expected. This caused the market to drop, though for only 1 day.
- Earnings season: Strong earnings reports from major companies like Apple and Alphabet boosted investor confidence.
- Geopolitical concerns: The ongoing war in Ukraine and tensions with China remained, but did not cause major market disruptions.
- Recessions: UK and Japan entered recessions (but the Japan stock market is at an all-time high!)
- Layoffs: Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Salesforce, Snap, Zoom, Cisco all announced job cuts
There should be a correction in the US market soon, which is to be expected after such a strong rise. And after the correction, rise again!
I thought I would also put it in clarity here some well-understood principles:
When interest rates go down:
- USD will fall (ie. it takes less SGD to buy USD)
- Stocks will rise (because make more sense to deploy your money into stocks for better returns instead of bank deposits)
- Bond prices will rise (hence bond yields will fall)
- Reits will rise (due to less borrowing costs)
- Returns from money market funds will fall (returns from MMF are dependent on interest rates)
What this means for me: money from my MMF has to be re-deployed soonest.